Sun-Earth Distance – TSI
CSS-80 The energy levels reaching our planet from the sun are a function of the Sun-Earth Distance (S-ED) and the sun’s energy intensity. That relationship is complicated and does affect our climate significantly (just not in the alarmists’ All-CO2, All-the-Time narrative and models). Those movements can be summarized as dramatic over every year (a roughly 5-million-kilometer change in S-ED and 90+ Watts/m2 changes in TSI) with small changes over millennia. The S-ED is currently decreasing slowly in line with the ±2,100-year Hallstatt solar cycle. The S-ED was increasing from 600 to 1600 and has been decreasing since then and will continue to decrease for several centuries (1600 to 2600). It is not a coincidence that the cold of the Maunder Minimum occurred when the S-ED was at or near its maximum.
#climatechange #delaythegreen #globalwarming #showusthedata
Work done by Zharkova et al has shown that the TSI changes over those two millennia is not symmetrical due to a roughly one-month shift in the timing of S-ED maximums and minimums. From 1700 to 2020, that TSI change is roughly 1 to 1.2 Watts/m2 (a significant portion of the ±2.3 Watts/m2 currently attributed (by NOAA) to CO2). And that does not include the many other solar forcings that are currently ignored by the alarmist community. A far more detailed discussion can be found in the links included with this post that show there are alternatives to the alarmists’ All-CO2, All-the-Time narrative. The S-ED is just one more piece in that puzzle. CSS-79 – A Common Sense Look at Climate Change provides a summary of the other links.
A significant component of the S-ED is related to the Sun-Earth Barycenter position. The earth and the Sun orbit their barycenter. That barycenter orbit changes in a ±179-year cycle and dramatically affects our climate and other natural cycles on a ±60-year cycle tied to Jupiter’s 60-year orbital eccentricity cycle. I will be looking at the earth’s 60-year cycles in more detail in a future post. The 60-year cycles were touched on in my recent CSS-75 – Solar Forcing Discussion post.
There is so much more to our climate than the alarmists’ All-CO2, All-the-Time narrative. CO2 is just one small component of that complexity. The focus on anthropogenic forcings (CO2 being the primary one) is extremely wasteful and dangerous (physically and financially), taking away resources (time, money, materials, etc.) that could be used to address the real problems that humanity faces. A significant portion of humanity is waking up to that reality. Canadians (with a special emphasis on my demographic (the Baby Boomers)) need to wake up to that reality. The ideological desire to lead the world on climate is useless/stupid and cannot happen when the rest of the world is not following. We simply cannot control the climate on any meaningful scale.

Based on the VSOP87 Theory
Solar Activity, Solar Irradiance and Earth’s Temperature – Zharkova et al
Appendix 1 – Variations of Sun-Earth distances in Millennium M1: 600-1600 and M2: 1600-2600
Appendix 2 – Effect of the Sun-Earth distance change on solar irradiance





For more perspective and more detailed analysis, you can also check out some of the following posts.
EARTH – Daily Heliocentric Distance and Light-Time Tables Based on the VSOP87 Theory
https://neoprogrammics.com/vsop87/planetary_distance_tables
Solar Activity, Solar Irradiance and Earth’s Temperature – Zharkova et al
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2008.00439
Appendix 1 – Variations of Sun-Earth distances in millennium M1: 600-1600 and M2: 1600-2600
Appendix 2 – Effect of the Sun-Earth distance change on solar irradiance
THE NOAA ANNUAL GREENHOUSE GAS INDEX (AGGI)
https://gml.noaa.gov/aggi/aggi.html#:~:text=Figure%203%20shows%20radia
Climate Short Story (CSS)
CSS-71 – IPCC’s Model/Theory Shortcomings
CSS-71 – IPCC’s Model/Theory Shortcomings – Revisited
CSS-74 – Climate Tipping Points
CSS-75 – Solar Forcing Discussion
CSS-78 – Weakening Electromagnetic Field
CSS-79 – A Common Sense Look at ‘Climate Change’
CSS-80 – Sun Earth Distance – TSI

