Global Cooling NOT Warming is in the Forecast

CSS-54 This post started out as a “simple” addendum to some previous Greenland posts (CSS-26 and OPS-72). I was adding in some additional discussion on the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) which explains most of the discrepancies in the average Greenland temperature and Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO) correlation. The Ocean Cycles, NOT CO₂ are obviously the dominant climate driver in Greenland and they (primarily the AMO) will be driving temperatures down over the next few decades. But as with all things Climate, the big picture is complicated. Unfortunately, the AMO is not the only significant cold driver poised to impact our planet.

#climatechange #delaythegreen #globalwarming #showusthedata

A Grand Solar Minimum (GSM) is also in the forecast. My CSS-29 – Climate Model – TSI-AMO-CO₂ and OPS-52 – NOAA – Solar Activity Forecast posts investigate the GSM discussion (laying out the coming temperature drops). In this post, I am addressing some additional climate altering events that are starting to be discussed in the mainstream news. There are many articles/papers discussing the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) status. If the AMOC were to collapse, the planet would quickly be transformed into a colder state. Will the AMOC collapse? When might the AMOC collapse? Open questions that still require discussion and confirmation. However, the eminent cold freshwater releases associated with the Beaufort Gyre and Heinrich Events (rapid cooling events that follow rapid Dansgaard-Oeschger warming events like we are currently experiencing) could hasten and lock in an AMOC collapse in the very near future.

Our ideological leadership (political, media, academic, etc.) continue to ignore these real and present dangers and push their societal/economically suicidal policies. We should be preparing for significantly colder temperatures, shorter growing seasons, reliable energy shortages, etc. The climate is going to change (it will get colder, just not in those climate models that self-admittedly run way too hot while ignoring the many more dominant natural forcings). CO₂’s minor warming capacity, while welcomed, will be negligible over the next few decades. More discussion and links are available in my CSS-30 – CMIP6 Climate Models, CSS-42 – The Role of the Sun – Scaffeta 2023, CSS-51 – Soon-Connolly – Solar Forcings, CSS-53 – CO₂’s Moneyball Moment, and OPS-55 – The State of Climate Science posts. Climate Change is Complicated (CSS-35). You need to do some research and not rely on opinion pieces (mine included). Look at the data (all of it) and come to your own conclusions!

As an aside, I am a signatory to CLINTEL’s World Climate Declaration: There is NO Climate Emergency. The time may have come to consider modifying that declaration, confirming there is no warming emergency but there may be a Climate Emergency related to colder temperatures. Just some food for thought. For more perspective and more detailed analysis, you can also check out some of the following posts.

There is NO Climate Emergency

Clintel Climate Intelligence

Triple Climate Bomb First Time in 1000s of Years

AMOC’s Peril: Crucial Ocean Current At Risk Of Collapse

https://www.msn.com/en-us/weather/topstories/amoc-s-peril-crucial-ocean-current-at-risk-of-collapse/vi-BB1igWN9

Understanding deep ocean circulation and climate modeling

https://arstechnica.com/science/2010/01/understanding-deep-ocean-circulation-and-climate-modeling/

Recent state transition of the Arctic Ocean’s Beaufort Gyre

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/370599987_Recent_state_transition_of_the_Arctic_Ocean’s_Beaufort_Gyre

The Detection and Attribution of Northern Hemisphere Land Surface Warming (1850–2018) in Terms of Human and Natural Factors: Challenges of Inadequate Data – Soon et al 2023

https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1154/11/9/179

Empirical assessment of the role of the Sun in climate change using balanced multi-proxy solar records – Scaffeta 2023

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674987123001172?via%3Dihub

One Page Summary (OPS)

OPS-52 – NOAA – Solar Activity Forecast

CO2 Emissions and the IPCC

OPS-55 – The State of Climate Science

The State of Climate Science

OPS-72 – Where are Greenland’s Temperatures Headed?

Where Are Greenland’s Temperatures Headed?

Climate Short Story (CSS)

CSS-26 – Greenland/Iceland – AMO-PDO-CO₂ Distribution

Greenland/Iceland – AMO/PDO/CO2 Distribution

CSS-29 – Climate Model – TSI-AMO-CO₂

Climate Model – TSI-AMO-CO2

CSS-30 – CMIP6 Climate Models

CMIP6 Climate Models

CSS-35 – Climate Change – It’s Complicated – CC-IC

Climate Change – It’s Complicated – CC-IC

CSS-42 – The Role of the Sun – Scaffeta 2023

The Role of the Sun – Scafetta 2023

CSS-51 – Soon-Connolly – Solar Forcings

Soon-Connolly – Solar Forcings

CSS-53 – CO₂’s Moneyball Moment

CO2’s Moneyball Moment