Weakening Electromagnetic Field

February 15, 2026 rjdavison

CSS-78 – Weakening Electromagnetic Field Download PDF

CSS-78 Is there a connection between our Electro Magnetic Field (EMF) strength and our climate? Not according to the All CO₂, All the Time climate alarmist narrative. But in January 2026, Sagnotti et al produced their “Improving the reconstruction of Holocene geomagnetic paleosecular variation in the Antarctic region” paper. Begging the question, why does their Relative Paleo Intensity (RPI) curve correlate with the general global temperature profiles over the Holocene?

#climatechange #delaythegreen #globalwarming #showusthedata

The correlation is not that surprising. As our Electro Magnetic Field (EMF) weakens (i.e.: the RPI trends lower), more of the sun’s energy enters our biosphere and the atmosphere warms. The opposite is also true. There are many other solar and ocean cycles that warm and cool on shorter time frames. More detail on those forcings can be found in my CSS-75 – Solar Forcing Discussion post.

The RPI curve (attached) is based on sparsely derived data points (200-year spacing) but clearly shows the Holocene Climate Maximum (a much warmer period than today with a weaker EMF), the Holocene Neoglacial (the temperature decline associated with a strengthening EMF) into the Little Ice Age, and the recent sharp temperature rise and weakening EMF (post 1640) that has brought us out of the LIA and into the current Modern Climate Optimum. The RPI/EMF strength correlates to the full 10,000-year data set. CO₂ correlates to just the last 175 years of the 12085 years shown (just 1.45% of the available data). Yet we are supposed to believe that human activity (primarily CO₂) is the only climate driver of any significance. Our climate had no problem changing (significantly and often) throughout the Holocene with no CO₂ contribution. The natural forcings that produced those changes were still active after the pre-industrial period and will still be active in the future just not in the IPCC models (CSS-71 – IPCC Model/Theory Shortcomings and CSS-71 – IPCC Model/Theory Shortcomings – Revisited).

The RPI/temperature anomaly correlations are shown for four different temperature datasets. From the Arctic (Vinther et al), the Antarctic (Dome C), an average of the Arctic and Antarctic, and a temperature reconstruction from Javier Vinós’ work (global, discussed in my CSS-56 – The Holocene & Solar Activity post). The Dome C data has deviation through the early Holocene, but the other curves have good correlation throughout the entire Holocene (including our supposedly ‘unique and unprecedented’ recent warming period). The Arctic/Antarctic average, the Vinos reconstruction, and the CO₂ correlations with RPI have been attached.

The weakening EMF should be humanity’s primary concern, not the mild warming that we might experience from further greenhouse gas additions or even the severe cooling that we are more likely to experience as the ±1150 year Bond/Eddy and ±375 year Grand Solar Minimum solar cycles, and the ±60 year Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO) cooling converge to send us into the next Little Ice Age. More discussion on that in my CSS-74 – Climate Tipping Points post. We can survive the warming or more likely, the cooling, with cheap, abundant, reliable energy (not wind and solar). The weakening EMF although a warming source can be easily overpowered in the near term by the shorter solar cycles.

The real danger lies in our increased vulnerabilities to the sun’s activity. Our EMF has provided our modern society protection from the sun’s gastrointestinal tendencies (solar flares and Coronal Mass Ejections (CME)). That protection has waned over the last century plus and we are far more vulnerable than we were the last time the sun got indigestion (during the mid-1800s). In September 1859, the sun spat out what is known as the Carrington event. A large solar flare/CME (±X100) that caused significant damage to the telegraph network that existed at the time. A similar sized solar flare/CME has the potential to devastate our current electrically focused society (without factoring in our weakening EMF). Earth’s EMF strength peaked around 1600 (just before the cold Maunder Minimum began and global temperatures started rising). By 1859, the EMF strength had fallen by 35.6%. That decline has accelerated and we are now close to a 55% loss. Something substantial happened in the mid-1800s and it was not CO₂. Glaciers that had been advancing, abruptly began receding. Sea levels and temperatures that had been declining, suddenly began rising. The magnetic North Pole (that had been wandering around the Canadian Arctic since 1590), suddenly began its rapid acceleration towards Russia.

These events are not isolated. They are all tied together by our solar system’s gravitational and electromagnetic interactions. The internal workings of those interactions are not as well understood as they should be, but the signs are still visible in the empirical data. Unfortunately, the ideological push to label anthropogenic forcings as THE principal climate driver has limited the research focus that natural forcings deserve and need. We are in no danger from the mild warming that further greenhouse gas emissions may produce. The immediate danger comes from our weakening EMF. Our electrical system (from generation to final use) is vulnerable to much weaker solar flares/CMEs than the Carrington event. There have been several large solar flare/CME events (since 1859) that could have caused major devastation to our electrically dependent way of life had they been directed at earth. I summarized the solar flare/CME history in my March 12^th, 2023, CSS-36 – Solar Flares and CMEs post. Later that day, the sun blasted off a solar flare/CME that was likely strong enough to disable the world’s electrical grids for months (maybe years). We got lucky.

More recently, (May 2024) we had another event that (despite the excitement over the vivid, widespread auroras) could have ended our society. That space weather (auroras, and geomagnetic/particle storms similar in magnitude to the Carrington event) was produced by a few X1/X2 flares (shown in the attached figure). What we were not hit by was the X16.5 and the four ±X10 flares that blasted off the same sunspot group after they had rotated to the far side of the sun. Prior to disappearing behind the sun, the sunspots also released an X4 and X6 flare that that were also (luckily) not directed at earth. Had that flurry of X10 plus flares been directed at earth, this post would likely not have existed.

The ideological push to fight anthropogenic ‘climate change’ ignores the many more powerful natural forcings that will ultimately determine our future climate. That simplistic, unscientific, unnecessary and frankly dangerous ideological fight draws away financial and intellectual resources from the real existential threat we are likely facing in the near future. We can adapt (reasonably well) to whatever warming or more likely cooling we may experience. Unfortunately, as a society, we can not adapt to the loss of our electrical systems. The trillions we waste on ‘climate change’ could and should be used to harden our electrical grids so that we can survive as large a solar flare/CME as possible. Renewables (wind, solar, batteries) just weaken our grids at suicidally high costs. The opposite of what we need to do. We need to start improving our chances of survival rather than limiting our options and putting up roadblocks.